The Distribution of the Inverse Square Root Transformed Error Component of the Multiplicative Time Series Model

Abstract

The probability density function, mean and variance of the inverse square-root transformed left-truncated N(1,σ²) error component e^*_t(=1/ √e_t) of the multiplicative time series model were established. A comparison of key-statistical properties of e^*_t and e_t confirmed normality with mean 1 but with Var(e^*_t) ≈1/4Var(e_t) when σ≤0.14. Hence σ≤0.14 is the required condition for successful transformation.